Sinner-Medvedev is a Wimbledon quarterfinal match: analysis, statistics, news, schedule, prediction, live TV and streaming.
Neither Miomir Kecmanovic nor Ben Shelton were able to make things difficult for Jannik Sinner, as compatriot and friend Matteo Berrettini did in the second round. The feeling is that, after having had to raise his level to bend the Roman “hammer,” the South Tyrolean has made a further leap forward on this surface. The one that, compared to the others, he has learned about only a few years ago.
“Now I understand grass,” Sinner explained in one of the last interviews, admitting that he now feels more comfortable even on grass. And he comes prepared for his date with Daniil Medvedev, whom he will face in yet another quarterfinal match of the season.
The goal is obviously to repeat last year’s semifinal, when he had to surrender to Novak Djokovic. Compared to 365 days ago, however, the differences are by no means few as Sinner has grown by leaps and bounds just in the second half of last season, breaking several taboos.
Between them is precisely the Russian, who before last fall was his “black beast.” Since his success in Beijing, the Italian has not stopped. Five wins out of five against Medvedev, including the historic comeback victory at the last Australian Open, which earned him his first title in a Grand Slam tournament. The two have never met on grass, an environment in which the Muscovite gives the impression of being much less dangerous than on concrete. Medvedev, however, has played very well so far at Church Road. And he too is aiming to reach the semifinals as he did in 2023, when he had to raise the white flag against future winner Carlos Alcaraz.
The Russian in the first three rounds won over Kovacevic, Muller and Struff. He then benefited from the injury withdrawal of Bulgarian Grigor Dimitrov in the round of 16: the match ended after only 8 games.
Share comparison
Sinner’s win is listed at 1.23 on Goldbet, Lottomatica and Snai. In contrast, the “Over 38.5 game” sign is quoted at 1.82 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and 1.70 on Snai.
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The Prediction
Sinner may struggle a bit more than in his last two matches with Kecmanovic and Shelton, which were settled in three sets, but in the end he will likely get the better of the Russian. It will be at least a 4-set match in any case, as Medvedev hardly played against Dimitrov and is more rested than the Italian. At least 39 games overall are expected.
