Sinner-Medvedev is a US Open quarterfinal match: analysis, statistics, news, schedule, prediction, live TV and streaming.
Ever since Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic left New York prematurely, this possible quarterfinal match has always been seen as an early final. And it seems even more so now that it has become a reality: Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev are the leading favorites to win the 2024 U.S. Open, all the more so after the elimination of Alexander Zverev, located, however, on the other side of the scoreboard.
For the South Tyrolean this challenge, in addition to being able to open wide the door to the final – in the semi he would face one between Alex de Minaur and Jack Draper, certainly less insidious and more within reach than the Russian – has a special meaning. It would mean, in fact, avenging the defeat suffered last July at Wimbledon, again in the quarterfinals. A match that marked the end of the current world number one’s long winning streak against Medvedev, who had been losing to Sinner uninterruptedly for 5 consecutive matches (including the final of the last Australian Open). A 5-set knockout that undoubtedly left a bitter taste in the mouth of the San Candido native, who was also forced to deal with an illness on that occasion.
The Russian remains ahead in the previous
Medvedev remains ahead 7-5 in the previous matches but over the past year, if we exclude the Wimbledon match, it has been almost a one-sided rivalry, with the Italian always getting the better of the Muscovite from Beijing onwards, albeit at the end of always very tight and hard-fought matches.
Sinner in the Big Apple gives the impression that he is healthy – in 2024 he reached the quarters in all Slams, setting another record – and he proved it by winning the last three matches in 3 sets (the only set lost remains the one in the debut match with McDonald). Identical was the path of Medvedev, who after winning in 4 sets against Serbian Lajovic in the first round was virtually perfect against Marozsan, Cobolli and Borges.
Share comparison
Sinner’s win is listed at 1.38 on Goldbet, Lottomatica and Snai. In contrast, the “Over 38.5” sign is quoted at 1.90 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and 1.87 on Snai.
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The Prediction
A real battle is looming, “both physical and mental” as Sinner himself was keen to point out in the press conference. The Italian on the North American concrete this year has been a force of nature, losing only two matches (Alcaraz and Rublev), but if he wants to get right with the hostile Russian he will have to improve his serving percentages, a fundamental in which so far in New York he has not always been consistent. The feeling is that this time he may come out on top in another match that could go all the way to the fifth set.