After happening only once in the history of the Premier League – and not since 1997-98 – the last two seasons have seen all three teams promoted from the Championship immediately relegated. It is too early to say that this is now a structural problem due to the gap between the top flight and the second tier, but inevitably the pressure on the newly promoted teams has increased.
And if Leeds, Burnley, and Sunderland fans are looking for encouragement from the supercomputer, they would do better to look away: it sees all three as the most likely candidates for relegation. That said, Leeds and Burnley still survive more often than they are relegated in the simulations: Daniel Farke’s team is relegated to the Championship in 48.1% of cases, while Scott Parker’s team is relegated in 45.9%.
Sunderland, the surprise winner of the playoffs, is the team with the highest percentage of relegation among all 20 participants: 66.4% of simulations. However, with a promising summer transfer market on paper, they will try to prove the supercomputer wrong.
Wolves got off to a terrible start last season but improved significantly with the arrival of Vítor Pereira. However, the loss of Matheus Cunha, who moved to Manchester United, remains a blow. Ait-Nouri has also left, heading to City. According to the supercomputer, Wolves are fourth favorites for relegation, with 26.4% of simulations.
West Ham, with Graham Potter arriving mid-season, did not have an immediate impact and lost a key player in Mohammed Kudus, who moved to Tottenham in the summer. After his first real preseason with the team, Potter is aiming to improve, but the Hammers are relegated in 22.0% of cases.
Fulham, after a good 2024-25 season, would finish in the Championship in 14.8% of simulations, while Tottenham would finish at least one place lower than last season and be relegated in 13.7% of cases.
Everton will inaugurate their new Hill Dickinson Stadium by being relegated in 12.5% of simulations, while Manchester United will achieve the unthinkable in 11.1% of cases, making relegation more likely than a top-four finish (6.7%).
Odds comparison
Burnley, Leeds, and Sunderland are all at 4.00 to be relegated to the Championship at the end of the season on Bet365. This antepost odds are not currently available on Goldbet and Lottomatica.
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