Monday Night Premier League features a highly tense match between Newcastle and Liverpool, made even more heated by the situation surrounding Alexander Isak. The Swedish striker, who is at the center of record-breaking negotiations with Liverpool, has decided not to play for Newcastle anymore, leaving Eddie Howe without his key offensive player. And the numbers speak for themselves: without Isak, Newcastle has not scored in any of its last four Premier League games, despite a total of 47 shots and a cumulative xG of over 5.5.
On the other hand, Liverpool come into the game full of confidence, fresh from a convincing 4-2 win over Bournemouth in which all four strikers got on the scoresheet. Mohamed Salah, in particular, poses the main threat to the home side: the Egyptian has been involved in 18 goals against Newcastle in his career, with an assist in each of his last six games against the Magpies. He is also the player with the most goals and assists against teams coached by Eddie Howe.
Recent history also clearly favors the Reds, who are unbeaten in their last seventeen Premier League games against Newcastle, with twelve wins and five draws. In addition, they have scored in thirty-five consecutive league games and, with ninety goals in thirty-nine games under Slot, boast an average of 2.3 goals per game. However, it should be remembered that the Magpies won the last meeting between the two sides in the League Cup final. Liverpool’s real weakness could be their defense, as demonstrated by the two goals they conceded on the counterattack against Bournemouth. And the absences of Frimpong and probably Bradley could weigh heavily on the right flank. Newcastle, however, without Isak, struggle tremendously to convert chances, and this could make the difference. Even home advantage may not be enough to reverse a trend that has seen Liverpool dominate these encounters over the last ten years. The feeling is that the Reds once again have what it takes to come away with the three points.
Odds comparison
The “goal” (both teams to score) is quoted at 1.45 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and at 1.50 on Snai.
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The prediction
Liverpool should be able to avoid defeat in a match in which both teams are likely to score at least one goal.
Probable lineups for Newcastle-Liverpool
NEWCASTLE (4-3-3): Nick Pope, Kieran Trippier, Fabian Schär, Dan Burn, Tino Livramento, Bruno Guimarães, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Anthony Elanga, Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes.
MANCHESTER UNITED (4-2-3-1): Alisson Becker, Calvin Ramsay, Ibrahima Konaté, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Mohamed Salah, Florian Wirtz, Dominik Szoboszlai, Hugo Ekitiké.
POSSIBLE RESULT: 1-2