In the last three positions of the Premier League, at the moment, are the three teams that have risen from last season. And, among this, there is also Ipswich, which hosts, in this midweek round of the English top league, Brighton.
A team in good form, the visiting one, as it comes from five useful results in a row and has a certainly important ranking, perhaps unexpected even after Roberto De Zerbi’s farewell at the end of last season. Ipswich, too, at the turn of last year and the beginning of this 2025 did reasonably well: they won, for example, in the last 2024 against Chelsea, taking three very heavy points, then drew at Fulham’s ground before going through, easy, in the Fa Cup last weekend. In short, some good things are beginning to be glimpsed. But will they be enough to be able to score points? Let’s say it is difficult, for one particular reason, that of expected goals.
In fact, the hosts concede 6.74 chances per game to opposing lineups. Which is the widest margin, after Southampton, in the Premier League. Of goals, at the moment, they have conceded 35, but the total should be 41, so hypothetically they should have a few less points in the standings. And against a team like Brighton that, in the last period is finding the goal with some regularity, it will be very difficult to manage not to lose.
The prediction.
For the data we reported earlier, evident to think that Brighton can manage to take the full stake. For Ipswich, on the other hand, should they fail to put their defensive problems right, then it will be difficult, really, to save themselves.
The likely lineups for Ipswich-Brighton.
IPSWICH (4-2-3-1): Walton; Johnson, O’Shea, Woolfenden, Greaves, Davis; Morsy, Cajuste; Broadhead, Delap, J Clarke.
BRIGHTON (4-3-3): Verbruggen; Veltman, Dunk, Van Hecke, Estupinan; Baleba, Ayari; Gruda, Enciso, Mitoma; Welbeck.
POSSIBLE RESULT: 1-2