The Euro 2024 round of 16 kicks off on Saturday, June 29 at 6 p.m.: here are all the predictions on the passage of the round.
The Euro 2024 so far has not provided a great show. Many matches have been ugly to watch, and the national teams that have impressed in terms of technique and game organization can be counted on the fingers of one hand. The best has been Spain, which overwhelmed Croatia 3-0 and then dominated against Italy, despite winning only by an own goal.
The last game against Albania is not to be taken into account because it was played with second lines, and still won it. From what we have seen so far, Spain is the number one favorite for the final victory. Even the supercomputer of Opta, the world’s most famous sports data processing company, has noticed this. The mathematical prediction model created by Opta takes into account multiple variables, including: strengths and weaknesses of the opponents yet to face, historical series of results, track record, performance indices via X goals (potential goals) and much more.
Spain’s final victory at the start of the tournament had a probability of 9.6 percent increased now to 17.2 percent. The main favorite for triumph according to Opta, however, remains England, which, despite having disappointed on the playing level, has a smoother path than the other bigs: it is the only one among the top five title candidates to be on the right side of the board.
The most likely final: even Opta’s super computer says so
Basically, the most likely final, according to The Seer who agrees with what Opta’s super computer predicts, is Spain-England. Watch out, however, for host Germany, which has tradition and the field factor on its side.
As for the round passages from the round of 16 to the quarterfinals, Portugal should have no problem besides the already mentioned Spain, Germany and England. The Netherlands is favored over Romania although it is not certain that it will be a walkover.
The most poised round of 16 are France-Belgium, Switzerland-Italy and Austria-Turkey. France has disappointed so far, but overall has more arrows to its bow than Belgium, which appears too slow on defense. Italy relies on Donnarumma and Switzerland’s chronic lack of a “9,” while the passage to the round on which the Seer has the most doubts besides the blue concerns Turkey-Austria.
Montella will have to do without disqualified Calhanoglu, and the Austrians although less talented (see under the headings Arda Guler and Kenan Yildiz) showed great organization at the tactical level, making France suffer and beating the Netherlands.
Passing of the round
GERMANY in Germany-Denmark.
ENGLAND in England-Slovakia
SPAIN in Spain-Georgia
FRANCE in France-Belgium
PORTUGAL in Portugal-Slovenia
HOLLAND in Romania-Holland
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