Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction and Analysis
The Premier League action continues with an exciting showdown between Brighton & Hove Albion and Newcastle United on October 18, 2025, at the Amex Stadium. Both sides come into this fixture with plenty to prove — Brighton aiming to regain their early-season rhythm, while Newcastle seek consistency after a mixed run of form.
Latest Team News and Line-Ups
Brighton manager Roberto De Zerbi faces key selection issues ahead of the clash. Influential midfielder Pascal Groß is expected to return after a minor knock, while Julio Enciso remains sidelined. The Seagulls will rely heavily on Kaoru Mitoma and João Pedro to provide attacking impetus, supported by the creativity of Adam Lallana. In defense, Lewis Dunk and Igor Julio will be crucial in containing Newcastle’s pacey forwards.
Newcastle United, under Eddie Howe, travel south in search of their first away win in three matches. The Magpies will be without Sven Botman and Harvey Barnes due to injury, while Callum Wilson faces a late fitness test. Alexander Isak is expected to start up front, with Miguel Almirón and Anthony Gordon providing width. The return of Bruno Guimarães in midfield gives Newcastle a major boost in control and transition.
Head-to-Head Record
Recent meetings between these sides have been closely contested. Over the last five encounters, Brighton have won twice, Newcastle once, with two matches ending level. The Seagulls famously triumphed 3–1 in their last home meeting, thanks to a brace from Evan Ferguson. Newcastle, however, have shown improvement since then, particularly in attack.
Form and Statistics
Brighton currently occupy 9th place in the Premier League table, collecting 14 points from 10 matches. They have scored 17 goals but conceded 15, highlighting their high-risk, high-reward style. At home, they’ve been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats.
Newcastle United sit slightly higher in 7th position with 16 points. They’ve netted 19 goals — one of the best attacking returns in the league — but their defensive frailties have cost them points on the road. In their last five games, the Magpies have recorded two wins, two losses, and a draw.
Tactical Breakdown and Key Duels
This matchup promises a fascinating tactical battle between two possession-based sides. Brighton favor a fluid 4-2-3-1 setup, with build-up play from the back and reliance on quick passing triangles. Their wing play through Mitoma and March could expose Newcastle’s full-backs, especially if Trippier pushes forward.
Newcastle will likely deploy a 4-3-3 formation with a focus on aggressive pressing and vertical transitions. Howe’s men thrive on fast counter-attacks and set-piece efficiency. The duel between Bruno Guimarães and Pascal Groß in midfield will be key to dictating tempo, while Isak vs Dunk promises to be a thrilling physical contest.
Key Players to Watch
Brighton: Kaoru Mitoma, João Pedro, Lewis Dunk
Newcastle: Alexander Isak, Bruno Guimarães, Anthony Gordon
Prediction and Betting Tips
Both sides are strong going forward but vulnerable defensively, suggesting a lively affair with multiple chances. Brighton’s home advantage may count for something, yet Newcastle’s sharp attack could punish any lapses. Expect a balanced game that swings in either direction depending on who scores first.
Predicted Score: Brighton 2–2 Newcastle United
Betting Insights
- Over 2.5 goals: Strong value
- Both teams to score: Yes
- First goalscorer: Alexander Isak
- Draw no bet: Newcastle