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Stuttgart vs. Bayer Leverkusen prediction: expected goals leave no room for doubt

by Lea

Last week, defending champions Bayer Leverkusen missed the opportunity to close the gap on Bayern Munich to just five points after losing to Werder Bremen, on the same day that Florian Wirtz was injured and the league leaders were surprised by Bochum. A few days later, the title holders suffered another psychological blow when they were eliminated from the Champions League by Kompany’s team with an aggregate score of 5-0.

If they want to have any chance of turning things around, Xabi Alonso’s men will have to be almost perfect in the final sprint, hoping that Bayern slip up again after yesterday’s defeat to Union Berlin. A second consecutive DFB Pokal seems a more realistic goal, with a semi-final against Arminia Bielefeld scheduled for April 1.

After playing in the Champions League this season, Stuttgart are far from conceding a repeat performance. They need a win in this game and a series of positive results in the final stretch of the season: a very complicated mission.

Odds comparison

A goal is priced at 1.53 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and 1.60 on Snai. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.65 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and 1.55 on Snai.

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Prediction

Two teams that score with great ease face each other, as confirmed by Expected Goals: in the Bundesliga standings for goals scored, Bayer Leverkusen is second and Stuttgart fourth.

Probable lineups for Stuttgart-Bayer Leverkusen

STUTTGART (4-2-3-1): Nübel; Vagnoman, Jeltsch, Chabot, Mittelstädt; Karazor, Stiller; Bruun Larsen, Woltemade, Leweling; Demirovic.
BAYER LEVERKUSEN (4-4-2): Kovar; Mukiele, Tah, Hincapie, Arthur; Frimpong, Palacios, G. Xhaka, Grimaldo; Adli, Schick.

POSSIBLE RESULT: 1-2

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