The Serie B standings seem fairly clear: Sassuolo is now almost certain to be promoted to Serie A, with Pisa close behind and Spezia still in with a chance of avoiding the playoffs if it manages to finish the season with a fifteen-point lead over fourth place. It’s difficult but not impossible, as the standings tell us.
The Ligurians are now seven points ahead of Cremonese. They need a win against Brescia to put pressure on all the other teams. The standings, of course, tell us that the hosts are the favorites, also given the current form of these two teams: Brescia has not won in five games, has changed coaches again in recent weeks, and is on a downward spiral: Spezia, on the other hand, has had four positive results in its last five games and has lost only once at home this season, against Catanzaro. In short, the Bianconeri have done most of their work at home, building up an attractive position in the table that allows them to dream of glory, even with what could be third place, which usually only gives them the chance to play in the playoffs.
The match, therefore, seems fairly predictable. This is confirmed by Brescia’s record in their last three away games: three defeats, all quite heavy, which tell us that Brescia is a different team when they are away from home.
Odds comparison
Spezia’s victory is priced at 1.48 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and 1.50 on Snai.
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The prediction
Spezia will win in a match with less than three goals in total, in which Brescia will struggle to score. Yes, the feeling is that everything is set and ready to go.
Probable line-ups for Spezia-Brescia
SPEZIA (3-5-1-1): Chichizola; Vignali, Hristov, Mateju; Elia, Esposito, Nagy, Degli Innocenti, Reca; Kouda; Esposito.
BRESCIA (3-5-2): Lezzerini; Adorni, Calvani, Jallow; Dickmann, Bisoli, Verreth, Bjarnasson, Nuamah; Borrelli, Moncini.
POSSIBLE RESULT: 2-0