Merino’s goal, which came in injury time, changes everything. Obviously the draw that Spain achieved right at the end of the match in Amsterdam, also taking advantage of Hato’s sending off in the 84th minute, puts de La Fuente’s team ahead, one step away from the final four of the Nations League.
Holland, however, played a great game. Down immediately due to Nico Williams’ goal, the Orangee had the strength to react and turn the match around. Then, however, a goal from that player who also plays as a striker for Arsenal changed everything. Overall, however, Spain did better: the current European champions had more shots on goal and in the back of the net, as usual they had the upper hand for a long time, and they also had a better Expected Goals percentage. All this very recent data from a match that took place only two days ago indicates one thing: the Red Fury start with all the odds in their favor and will certainly be able to win and qualify.
Also because there is, evidently, a taboo to be broken: in the last five occasions in which these two teams have faced each other, only once, and on penalties, Spain has managed to win. Let’s say that this is a good opportunity to settle the score.
Odds comparison
Spain’s victory is quoted at 1.67 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and at 1.65 on Snai.
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The prediction
Spain win, for the first time in 15 years, in a match with at least three goals overall. Merino’s goal at the end changed everything, even from a mental point of view. So yes, the hosts will take the win and qualify.
The probable line-ups for Spain-Netherlands
SPAIN (4-3-3): Simon; Porro, Le Normand, Cubarsi, Cucurella; Pedri, Zubimendi, Ruiz; Yamal, Morata, Williams.
NETHERLANDS (4-3-3): Verbruggen; Geertruida, van Hecke, Van Dijk, Baas; Reijnders, Kluivert, De Jong; Frimpong, Brobbey, Gakpo.
POSSIBLE RESULT: 2-1