Fiorentina are still on the European train, while Milan risk losing touch for good. The Serie A Saturday postponement offers many points of interest: the match at San Siro with the Viola is perhaps the very last chance for the Rossoneri to avoid being left out of everything. Against Napoli last Sunday, they suffered another defeat – the fourth in the last six games – and the 2-1 win at the “Maradona” stadium made the Diavolo’s ninth place even more anonymous, 9 points behind fourth-placed Bologna but 5 points behind seventh-placed Lazio.
AC Milan partially redeemed themselves during the week against Inter in the first leg of the Coppa Italia semi-final: the first round ended 1-1 and Sergio Conceiçao’s team confirmed their positive trend in the derbies against the Nerazzurri, who curiously in the 4 previous seasons have never managed to get the better of their cousins.
The national cup is now the primary objective for AC Milan, who could only travel to the continent next year if they win the trophy. Fiorentina, on the other hand, are experiencing a new spring: their qualification for the Conference League quarter finals against Panathinaikos – next week they will face the Slovenians from Celje – and the two prestigious victories against Juventus (3-0) and Atalanta (1-0) at the Stadio Franchi have brought back enthusiasm in the Tuscan capital. Kean is a force of nature (against Dea, the former Juventus striker scored his 16th league goal) and coach Raffaele Palladino seems to have found his team again: defined hierarchies and great defensive solidity with the switch to a back three (just one goal conceded in the last three games). Compared to Milan, Fiorentina is just one point away from sixth place, which is currently shared by the two teams from Rome.
Milan-Fiorentina: the latest news on the line-ups
The only players unavailable for Milan are Loftus-Cheek and Emerson Royal, while Jimenez is suspended. In the middle, Conceiçao could give Bondo a chance, with the former Monza player joining Fofana. Behind them, Gabbia and Pavlovic are vying for a place in the starting eleven, while Abraham, after his excellent performance (and goal) in the derby, represents a credible threat to the Mexican Gimenez: a close race between the two strikers.
On the other side, Palladino hopes to recover Gosens, absent against Atalanta. The German winger seems to have overcome his physical problem. If he doesn’t make it, Parisi is ready, he didn’t do badly against Dea. Otherwise, there are no major changes to the Viola starting eleven: in attack, once again the duo Gudmundsson and Kean, in the middle Fagioli surrounded by Mandragora and Cataldi. At the back, Pongracic, Marì and Ranieri are unmovable.
UPDATE: Gosens has not recovered and has not been called up. Parisi will play on the left.
Odds comparison
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The prediction
Two wins each in the last four previous matches, while the “X” sign hasn’t come up in five years. The Viola’s last win at San Siro is even older, a stadium that the lily whites haven’t conquered since 2019. Palladino’s team struggles more away from home – since November they have only beaten Lazio away from home – but against a Milan team that spent a lot of energy in the Coppa Italia derby and can take advantage of the enthusiasm for the two great victories against Juventus and Atalanta in Florence, they can also do well in San Siro, becoming dangerous especially with the weapon of the counterattack. Both should score at least once.
The probable line-ups for Milan-Fiorentina
MILAN (4-2-3-1): Maignan; Walker, Gabbia, Thiaw, Hernandez; Bondo, Fofana; Pulisic, Reijnders, Leao; Abraham.
FIORENTINA (3-5-2): De Gea; Pongracic, Pablo Marì, Ranieri; Dodò, Fagioli, Cataldi, Mandragora, Parisi; Gudmundsson, Kean.