Constància vs Girona Prediction and Analysis (28 October 2025 – 18:00 UTC)
On Tuesday evening at Nou Camp de Inca, CE Constància host Girona FC in the first round of the Copa del Rey. It’s a classic cup underdog clash – a lower-league side brimming with home-ground energy welcoming a top-flight club expected to assert control. The question: which storyline will dominate?
Team news and lineup considerations for cup match
Constància come into the tie with no major injury concerns reported. Their coach will likely deploy a 4-2-3-1 structure, emphasising width and pressing high when possible. Their left winger has been influential in recent home fixtures, creating chances and drawing defenders out of position. At home they’ve kept a tighter defensive shape but remain vulnerable to direct attacks.
Girona arrive missing several defensive and midfield players: among the absentees are Alejandro Francés, David López, Donny van de Beek and Juan Carlos due to injury. The coach is expected to field a 4-3-3 formation mixing rotation and experience, with key attacking options leading the line despite squad disruptions. While their league form remains steady, their recent away matches show slight volatility.
Head-to-head history and context between the clubs
This fixture essentially marks first competitive meeting between the two clubs. Historical data indicates zero prior encounters between Constància and Girona. Girona therefore hold the advantage in terms of pedigree and expectation, yet absence of direct precedent adds an element of unpredictability.
Form guide, standings and key statistics
Constància sit in the lower tiers of Spanish football, and while home form has improved—winning four of their last five at Nou Camp de Inca—their attacking output remains modest, averaging under 1.3 goals per game. Defensively they concede over 1.4 per match at home, highlighting how leaks remain a concern.
Girona currently compete in the top flight and have shown resilience this season. Their average goals scored per away game hover around 1.5 while conceding approximately 1.2. Their key forward carries five league goals already and remains central to attack. The squad rotation for the cup means fringe players may feature, but overall quality still tilts in their favour.
Tactical analysis – Constància’s approach vs Girona’s class
Constància will seek to exploit home conditions. Their plan appears to rest on high full-backs, two quick wingers and rapid transitions once possession is regained. The duel on their right flank (their winger vs Girona’s left full-back) will be pivotal. If they can overload that side early, they may unsettle the visitors.
Girona are likely to implement controlled build-up and midfield dominance. With a 4-3-3, they will aim to control tempo and prevent Constància from gaining rhythm. The midfield trio will be tasked with preventing vertical passes through the lines and launching wide attacks. Key duel: Girona’s attacking midfielder vs Constància’s defensive pivot—control here could determine the game’s flow.
Prediction & betting insight
On paper Girona are favourites given their superior level, squad depth and recent stability. However, cup football often allows for surprises — Constància’s home crowd and aggressive pressing introduce risk for the visitors. A modest margin win for Girona seems most likely, though both teams scoring is a strong possibility given home side’s attacking intent and visitor rotation.
Predicted score: Constància 1 – 2 Girona FC
Betting tips: Girona to Win, Both Teams to Score (Yes), Over 2.5 Goals.
Summary
This cup tie presents a vivid contrast: a determined underdog at home embracing occasion against a professional side managing injuries but carrying class. Constància’s pressing and width may open the game early, yet Girona’s control and quality should prevail. Expect a tight but decisive victory for the visitors, with both sides contributing to the scoring.