Atletico Tordesillas vs Burgos CF Prediction and Analysis (28 October 2025 – 18:00 UTC)
This first-round tie of the Copa del Rey sees Atletico Tordesillas, a semi-professional outfit from the Tercera Federación, face Burgos CF, a Segunda División side, at Estadio Las Salinas. For Tordesillas it is a chance to shine in the national spotlight; for Burgos it will be about avoiding a shock and asserting their superior standing.
Team news and lineup considerations
Atletico Tordesillas enter the match with no reported major injuries, meaning their preferred 4-3-3 remains likely. Their full-backs are expected to push high to support the attacking trio, though questions remain over defensive depth.
Burgos CF come into the tie missing their wide attacker Víctor Mollejo through injury. The coach is expected to field a 4-2-3-1 with a focus on maintaining possession and controlling tempo. The centre-forward, who has featured regularly this season, will lead the line.
Head-to-head record and historical context
The two clubs have rarely met in official competition. In the limited recent encounters, Burgos hold a slight advantage. In the last five matches between them, Burgos won three and Tordesillas two. While the sample size is small, Burgos’ higher level lends them clear prestige in this tie. :contentReference[oaicite:3]{index=3}
Form guide and statistical snapshot
Tordesillas have enjoyed a run of home form in their league, winning four of their last five at Las Salinas and keeping clean sheets in several. Their offensive output remains modest, however, with fewer than 1.5 goals per game.
Burgos enter having won three of their last five competitive matches in the Segunda División. Their away record is less dominant but shows upward trends. Defender pairing has conceded marginally more than one goal per game on average. :contentReference[oaicite:4]{index=4}
Tactical preview – local underdogs vs professional contenders
Atletico Tordesillas will likely adopt a bold approach. Their high full-backs and energetic wingers may seek to press Burgos early and spark attacking chances from width. The key duel here will be their right winger taking on Burgos’ left full-back; if Tordesillas can dominate that flank, they may force chaos.
Burgos CF, on the other hand, should remain structurally calm. Their midfield double will aim to interrupt Tordesillas’ pressing midsections, then release the attacking three with purposeful passes. Burgos’ ability to keep possession under pressure will be vital; if they succeed, the disparity in quality should tell.
Prediction and betting insight
The gulf in league tiers suggests Burgos are favourites. However, cup football often invites surprises and Tordesillas’ local form and fan energy cannot be dismissed. The visitors’ key absence may reduce their firepower slightly but their structure and experience should prevail.
Predicted score: Atletico Tordesillas 1 – 2 Burgos CF
Betting tips: Burgos CF to win, Both Teams to Score (Yes), Under 3.5 Goals.
Summary
Atletico Tordesillas will contest every duel and hope the occasion inspires them. Burgos CF bring professional efficiency and tactical clarity into a setting where their status demands respect. Ultimately the visitors’ depth and composure should carry them through, but the home side’s belief and energy make this a match far from a foregone conclusion.