Farnham vs Sutton prediction and analysis

After a thrilling 3–3 draw in the FA Cup 4th qualifying round, the replay between **Farnham Town and Sutton United** promises to be just as dramatic. We break down form, tactics, head-to-head, and deliver a forecast you can trust.
Match background & key facts
The first leg, held on **11 October 2025** at Farnham’s Memorial Ground, ended in a pulsating **3–3 draw**, with late drama restoring parity for Sutton. Final attendance was around 2,300, including some 375 traveling supporters. Goal scorers read like a rollercoaster: Farnham struck twice through **Darryl Sanders** (a brace) and **Owen Dean**, while Sutton responded via **Harry Phipps**, **Brandon Njoku**, and a stoppage-time **Jayden Harris** drive to snatch a draw.
The replay is set for **14 October 2025**, moving to Sutton’s home ground. The momentum and psychological balance now shift — home advantage, substitutions, and fatigue may all play pivotal roles.
Team news, injuries & lineup considerations
Both teams enter with largely full squads. Sutton’s match report notes that **Harry Phipps** and **Jack Wadham** returned from injury in the first match, with Phipps delivering the equaliser. They are expected to remain in the squad, offering both experience and composure.
Farnham will likely stick with the forward thrust that produced three goals, especially with Sanders and Dean excelling. Their defence may be hardened slightly to absorb Sutton’s threat in wide areas or from late surges. No red cards or long-term suspensions emerged from the first match.
Head-to-head and historical context
This FA Cup tie represents one of the rare meetings between Farnham Town and Sutton United. Their first leg drew a 3–3 deadlock, so the H2H ledger sits level for now. Past records show no dominance for either side, making the replay all the more open and unpredictable.
Given how both sides scored freely in the first meeting, the psychological advantage may rest with Sutton — they salvaged a result on the road late, which can fuel confidence heading into home territory.
Form & statistical analysis
Farnham’s recent run
Farnham come into this replay buoyed by attacking flair. Before the tie, they had recorded convincing wins, including a 3–0 result against Dorchester and a solid FA Trophy performance. Their home form is strong: confident in possession, incisive in transition, and willing to stretch defences with overlapping runs and direct passing.
Sutton’s recent trend
Sutton’s recent National League run has been patchy but resilient. Their defensive structure often holds firm, though their attacking output is less consistent. In the first leg, they showed character to respond multiple times — especially with substitute Njoku’s impact and Harris’s late strike.
Match stats & expectations
The six-goal spectacle in their first tie suggests that both teams are capable of breaking lines, though defensive lapses are a common denominator. Farnham’s transitions and Sutton’s counter-pressing will be key. The replay may see Sutton aiming to control tempo and Farnham seeking to force pace early, especially from set-pieces.
Key individual players: – **Darryl Sanders** (Farnham) attracts attention with his finishing and movement. – **Owen Dean**, too, struck a crucial volley. – For Sutton, **Harry Phipps** and **Brandon Njoku** showed savvy finishing, while **Jayden Harris** delivered in stoppage time under pressure.
Tactical review: formations, style & duels
In the opener, Sutton appeared in a balanced 4-2-3-1 shape, able to morph into a mid-block when needed, while Farnham leaned on attacking width and forward interchanges. In the replay, Sutton might push for greater control of midfield, perhaps switching to a 4-3-3 or adding a ball-winning midfielder to stanch Farnham’s bursts.
Pressing and triggers: Farnham will likely press when Sutton’s centre-backs receive under pressure or when their full-backs push high. Sutton, conversely, may press Farnham’s central defenders or work in tandem to cut off passing routes into central attackers.
Duels to monitor: 1. Farnham full-backs vs Sutton wingers — who wins width battles? 2. Midfield pivot clash — controlling tempo or intercepting key passes. 3. Target runs behind — whether Farnham’s attackers or Sutton’s forwards break in space.
Set-pieces, restarts, and second phases might tip balance in tight phases, especially late in each half.
Prediction & match forecast
The replay is unlikely to mirror the open carnival of the first leg — expect more caution early. If a team strikes early, the tension will magnify. If not, alternating control phases could define the narrative.Forecast: A 1–1 stalemate after regulation time is plausible, pushing the tie into extra time. If a winner emerges in 90 minutes, Sutton—backed by home support—edges it 2–1 with greater discipline and game management.
Betting insights & tip considerations
(Informational only — not a guarantee.)
- Under 3.5 goals is a sensible angle for the replay, given likely restraint early.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS) remains reasonable, as both sides found the net freely in the first leg.
- A draw in regular time or narrow Sutton win holds better value than expecting a lopsided scoreline.
