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Napoli-Genoa prediction: they’ve already pulled the plug

by Sabrina

Napoli sees the finish line closer after their fourth consecutive victory in the tricky away match against Lecce, who were hungry for points to avoid relegation. A goal from Raspadori (0-1) from a free kick was enough for the Neapolitans to take another three points from Salento and remain at the top of the table, three points ahead of Inter. Antonio Conte’s team, with three games to go, are masters of their own destiny: if they win their three remaining games, their dream of a fourth Scudetto will become a reality.

The difference is being made by the defense: even in Lecce, Napoli kept a clean sheet, recording their fourth in a row. Despite having scored 18 fewer goals than Inter, Di Lorenzo and his teammates continue to concede very few goals, confirming that championships are often won by conceding fewer goals than everyone else. In this round, Napoli will take to the field knowing the result of the Nerazzurri, who are playing a few hours earlier in Turin. They will therefore have to deal with the pressure, especially if Simone Inzaghi’s team wins, which would temporarily close the gap in the standings. The Azzurri, who have the schedule on their side, cannot afford to slip up against Genoa: the Rossoblù are already safe from relegation, and three consecutive defeats against Lazio, Como, and Milan clearly show that Patrick Vieira’s men are struggling to find new motivation now that they have achieved their season’s objective. The Grifone, moreover, are scoring very little: just two goals in their last six games.

Napoli-Genoa: the latest news on the line-ups

Conte should confirm the attacking duo of Raspadori and Lukaku, but Lobotka is likely to miss out in midfield with an ankle sprain. If the Slovakian is unable to play, the Scot Gilmour will take his place. The defense is still being reshuffled due to injuries to Buongiorno and Juan Jesus: Olivera will partner Rrahmani at the back.

Vieira will be without Miretti, Cornet, Matturro, and, most importantly, Malinovskyi, who has ended his season early. Pinamonti will lead the Rossoblù attack as usual, supported by Messias. Sabelli and Zanoli are vying for a place in the starting line-up.

Odds comparison

The ‘No Goals’ bet is priced at 1.47 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and 1.43 on Snai. The “Under 2.5” bet is priced at 1.80 on Goldbet, Lottomatica, and Snai.

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The prediction

Napoli can smell the Scudetto and should not slip up against a Genoa side that seems to have given up once it secured safety. Another clean sheet for the Azzurri would not be a surprise, considering the Rossoblù’s lack of firepower.

Probable line-ups for Napoli-Genoa

NAPOLI (4-4-2): Meret; Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Olivera, Spinazzola; Politano, Zambo Anguissa, Lobotka, McTominay; Lukaku, Raspadori.
GENOA (4-4-1-1): Leali; Norton-Cuffy, De Winter, Vasquez, Martin; Sabelli, Frendrup, Masini, Ahanor; Messias; Pinamonti.

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