Two heavy defeats in the space of a few days have suddenly cast a shadow over a mood that had been galvanized by the team’s qualification for the Champions League semi-finals. Inter fans have been on a rollercoaster ride over the last two weeks: from qualifying against Bayern Munich to a resounding defeat in the Coppa Italia semi-final second leg against Milan (0-3), which has now become a real taboo for Simone Inzaghi’s team (no wins in five derbies this season between league and cups), and then the knockout in Bologna (1-0) that allowed Napoli to catch up with the Nerazzurri at the top.
From the dream of the Treble to the nightmare of no titles. Lautaro Martinez and his teammates will have to avoid this possibility in a season finale that does not allow them to stop and catch their breath. Fatigue from too many games in quick succession could be a factor: against Bologna and Milan, Inzaghi had to do without several starters due to injuries and rotation. And something seems to have gone wrong. However, the coach does not want to hear any excuses on the eve of two crucial matches against Roma and Barcelona.
Before starting to think about the Blaugrana, Napoli, level on 71 points, must be prevented from pulling ahead: the problem is that Claudio Ranieri’s team is one of the most in-form in Serie A and has returned with a vengeance to believe in fourth place, now just three points away. The Giallorossi arrive at San Siro on the back of an unbeaten run in the league that has lasted since December, relying on a rock-solid defense. Suffice it to say that the last time Roma conceded more than two goals in a game was in January. Last Saturday, meanwhile, the Giallorossi kept yet another clean sheet (1-0 against Verona).
Inter-Roma: the latest news on the line-ups
Inzaghi will have to do without two pillars in Bastoni and Mkhitaryan, both suspended. The former will be replaced by Carlos Augusto, while in midfield, alongside the untouchable Calhanoglu and Barella, Frattesi will get his chance. On the wings, former Roma player Zalewski and Dimarco will start, while up front, the Nerazzurri coach hopes to have Thuram back: if the Frenchman is unavailable, Arnautovic will partner Lautaro Martinez.
Ranieri has fewer headaches, especially in attack, where he has a wide range of options. Soulé and Shomurodov should support Dovbyk, but Baldanzi is also waiting in the wings. Celik has the edge over Hummels, while Cristante and Paredes are neck and neck in midfield, with the Italian slightly favored.
Odds comparison
The “Under 2.5” bet is priced at 1.85 on Goldbet, Lottomatica, and Snai. The “X2” bet is priced at 2.05 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and at 2.00 on Snai.
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The prediction
This solid and grim Roma side poses a real threat to an Inter side that risks suffering psychological repercussions after their defeat in Bologna and their collapse in the Coppa Italia derby. Inzaghi will not be able to field his best team against the Giallorossi, as he will also have to make assessments ahead of the upcoming match against Barcelona. It would therefore come as no surprise if Ranieri’s men managed to take at least a point away from San Siro in a match that, as has happened three times in the last four encounters – all won by Inter – is unlikely to produce too many goals.
Probable line-ups for Inter vs Roma
INTER (3-5-2): Sommer; Pavard, Acerbi, Carlos Augusto; Zalewski, Barella, Calhanoglu, Frattesi, Dimarco; Arnautovic, Lautaro Martinez.
ROMA (3-4-2-1): Svilar; Celik, Mancini, N’Dicka; Saelemaekers, Cristante, Koné, Angelino; Soulé, Shomurodov; Dovbyk.