Derbies are always derbies, so in many cases they overturn predictions. The obvious example is Milan: in a season of total opposites, the Nerazzurri have never beaten a team that is unlikely to qualify for next season’s Champions League.
But that’s decided. The match between Cremonese and Mantova has a clear winner, dictated by the standings, and it will remain so on Friday afternoon. Everything points to a victory for Stroppa’s team, fourth in the standings, which is also hoping for a slip-up by Spezia to close in on third place and thus gain a significant advantage in the playoffs. Of course, the hosts are not in great shape after their home draw against Juve Stabia, and Mantova are approaching this match on the back of three useful results in a row. But Cremonese are not only favourites for the reasons we have mentioned, but also because they need to put things right in Lombardy after their defeat in the first leg.
Odds comparison
Cremonese’s victory is priced at 1.50 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and 1.50 on Snai.
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The prediction
Cremonese are favorites and will also be more motivated, given that Spezia will be playing in the early afternoon. By the time Stroppa’s team takes to the field, they will know the result of their direct competitor for third place. It will therefore be a decisive match against Mantova, who will need to pick up points elsewhere to avoid relegation.
Probable line-ups Cremonese-Mantova
CREMONESE (3-5-2): Fulignati; Antov, Ravanelli, Bianchetti; Barbieri, Pickel, Castagnetti, Vandeputte, Zanimacchina; Johnsen, De Luca.
MANTOVA (4-2-3-1): Festa; Maggioni, Brignani, De Maio, Bani; Trimboli, Wieser; Galuppini, Mancuso, Fiori; Mensah.
POSSIBLE RESULT: 2-0