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Augsburg-Bayern Munich prediction: a derby full of pitfalls for the league leaders

by Martin

Bayern Munich’s response, after Leverkusen had threatened to get to within 3 points of them in the early game, was not long in coming. Despite some difficulties, last Saturday the Bavarians immediately restored the distance between themselves and the reigning German champions, beating St. Pauli 3-2 at the Allianz Arena and returning to +6 over what has been their only pursuer for several weeks now.

The main players in the Hamburg club’s success were Sané, who scored twice, and Kane: with the goal scored against the “browns”, the English striker has scored against all 19 teams he has faced in the Bundesliga so far. Obviously he will also need to help out in terms of goals to allow Vincent Kompany’s team to come out unscathed from an April full of crucial matches.

With 7 games left in the championship, Bayern Munich must defend their lead in the standings to be able to regain the top spot and snatch it from Leverkusen. Then there’s the Champions League: next week they play the first leg of their quarter-final against Inter, two games that will inevitably take a lot of energy out of the Bavarians. Kompany shouldn’t underestimate Augsburg either: their “cousins” are doing much better than expected and in April they find themselves in eighth place, just 3 points from the Europa zone. Among other things, Jesse Thorup’s men have been unbeaten in the Bundesliga since mid-January: in 11 games they have barely conceded 3 goals, figures that deserve great respect.

Odds comparison

The “Goals” market is quoted at 1.80 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and at 1.77 on Snai. Bayern Munich’s victory is quoted at 1.42 on Goldbet, Lottomatica and Snai.

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The prediction

Kompany will have to make a limited number of substitutions for the match against Inter, since he doesn’t have two regular starters like Davies and Upamecano available. In the first leg there was no contest (Bayern won 3-0 at the Allianz Arena) but the feeling is that this derby, given Augsburg’s excellent form, could hold a few surprises: a more balanced match than expected with both teams scoring.

The probable line-ups for Augsburg-Bayern Munich

AUGSBURG (3-4-2-1): Dahmen; Matsima, Gouweleeuw, Zesiger; Wolf, Onyeka, Rexhbecaj, Giannoulis; Jensen, Claude-Maurice; Essende.
BAYERN MUNICH (4-2-3-1): Urbig; Laimer, Dier, Kim, Guerreiro; Kimmich, Palhinha; Olise, Musiala, Sané; Kane.

POSSIBLE RESULT: 1-2

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