These are intense days in Madrid. Atletico’s elimination in the Champions League derby against Real has left its mark, and the Spanish newspapers are still full of controversy over Alvarez’s penalty, with the striker’s second touch effectively sending Ancelotti through to the quarter-finals and Simeone out of the competition once again.
Controversy, like it or not, leaves its mark and saps the physical and mental energy of the Colchoneros, who have practically everything to play for in a week. The first goal has slipped away against their cousins, and now Barcelona are coming to try to keep their league hopes alive. The goal, even though Simeone’s men have one more game to play, is to temporarily overtake them in the standings. But it will be very difficult. And we’ll explain why.
First, the mental situation: Barcelona beat Benfica to secure a place in the quarterfinals of Europe’s top competition. It was a fairly easy victory. So the visitors are calm and relaxed, knowing they have done what they had to do. Then there is the physical aspect: the Catalans had an extra day to rest and did not have to play 120 minutes like the Madrid side, who could therefore pay the price in this respect. In short, a situation that seems fairly clear to us. But what will happen again? It’s easy to explain: the last meeting, in the Cup, ended 4-4. And the previous one ended 2-1 for Atletico away from home. Let’s say that the time has come not only for a victory for Flick’s team, but also for a repeat of the many goals scored.
Odds comparison
A Barcelona win is priced at 2.15 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and at 2.15 on Snai.
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The prediction
One goal per team. Three goals in total (at least), and a victory for Barcelona that will not completely eliminate Atletico from the La Liga race, but will deal them a heavy blow. For all the reasons we have given you before, we believe that this match can only end this way.
Probable line-ups for Atlético Madrid-Barcelona
ATLÉTICO MADRID (4-4-2): Oblak; Molina, Gimenez, Lenglet, Reinildo; Simeone, De Paul, Barrios, Gallagher; Griezmann, Alvarez.
BARCELONA (4-2-3-1): Szczesny; Kounde, Araujo, Cubarsi, Balde; De Jong, Pedri; Yamal, Dani Olmo, Raphinha; Lewandowski.
POSSIBLE RESULT: 2-3