Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund welcome VfB Stuttgart to Signal Iduna Park on Saturday, 22 November 2025 in a standout Bundesliga Matchday 11 clash between two top-four sides. Dortmund start the weekend in 3rd place, with Stuttgart close behind in 4th, so the points on offer in this head-to-head battle could have a huge impact on the race for Champions League qualification.

Dortmund’s domestic form this season has been strong, especially at home. They have combined an aggressive, front-foot approach with improved control in possession, using their attacking full-backs and creative midfielders to overload the final third. Signal Iduna Park remains a genuine fortress, with a high win percentage and the famous “Yellow Wall” driving the team forward.

Stuttgart, however, are far from intimidated. Under Sebastian Hoeneß they have developed into one of the league’s most dynamic attacking sides, with high tempo, intelligent movement and a constant threat in transition. Their recent seasons include eye-catching results against the Bundesliga’s elite, and they have enjoyed a particularly strong run of results against Dortmund in the last two years, repeatedly punishing defensive lapses with clinical finishing.

Tactically, this shapes up as a fascinating contest. Dortmund are likely to dominate the ball, pushing their full-backs on and trying to pin Stuttgart back with sustained pressure, quick combinations around the box and set-piece routines. Stuttgart will look to stay compact in the middle third and hit back with quick vertical passes into their mobile forwards, exploiting any space left behind Dortmund’s advanced back line.

With both teams in the top four and separated by only a small points margin, this match feels like more than just three points – it is a chance for Dortmund to reassert themselves over a recent bogey side, and for Stuttgart to prove once again that they belong among the Bundesliga’s heavyweights.

Match Information

Signal Iduna Park is expected to be sold out for this top-of-the-table encounter, creating the usual intense atmosphere that makes Dortmund away fixtures one of the toughest assignments in German football.

Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart Odds (1X2)

Early markets make Dortmund favourites at home, but Stuttgart’s recent record against them and their strong league position ensure the prices remain competitive rather than one-sided.

Model-based prediction sites broadly agree, giving Dortmund a win probability just below 60%, with the draw and away win each in the region of 20%. The main goal line is set at Over/Under 2.5 goals, with a clear lean towards the “Over”.

*Odds ranges are indicative based on major bookmakers and prediction portals and may change before kick-off. Always check live prices with your preferred operator.

Key Stats & Head-to-Head Snapshot

• League positions: Before Matchday 11, Dortmund sit 3rd and Stuttgart 4th in the Bundesliga table, underlining how important this game is for the Champions League race.
• Recent form: Dortmund’s home league form has been strong, with a high points return from their matches at Signal Iduna Park. Stuttgart have collected impressive results across the last 12 months, including extended spells in the top four and several statement wins.
• Head-to-head trend: Stuttgart have enjoyed a remarkable recent run in this fixture, winning each of the last five competitive meetings (league and cup), including multiple victories in Dortmund. That record adds extra needle and motivation for the hosts.
• Goals profile: Both sides are among the more attack-minded teams in the league. Recent matches involving Dortmund and Stuttgart frequently go over 2.5 total goals, and neutral observers expect another open, high-tempo contest.
• Star players: Dortmund boast creative and goalscoring threats in the likes of Julian Brandt, Karim Adeyemi and their central striker, while Stuttgart’s attack is led by a mobile front line and a midfield capable of arriving late in the box to finish flowing moves.
• Psychological factor: Dortmund are under pressure to end Stuttgart’s dominance in the head-to-head and to protect their top-three position. Stuttgart, meanwhile, travel with confidence knowing they have repeatedly found a successful game plan against this opponent.

Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart Betting Tips

1X2 Market

Taking into account home advantage, league position and the underlying win probabilities, the main recommendation in the standard 1X2 market is Borussia Dortmund to win (1). Prediction models give them close to a 60% chance of victory, which broadly matches the odds. For slightly more security, Dortmund Draw No Bet is a sensible alternative that refunds stakes in the event of a draw.

Goals Market (Over/Under)

Both teams are strong offensively and have been involved in fixtures with plenty of chances. Data-driven previews lean clearly towards Over 2.5 goals, and even an Asian line of Over 3.0 goals may appeal to those expecting a particularly open game. A 2–1, 3–1 or even 2–2 type of scoreline fits the statistical profile.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

The “Both Teams to Score” market is another popular angle here. BTTS – Yes is favoured by many models, reflecting Dortmund’s attacking power and Stuttgart’s proven ability to score against elite opponents. Combining Dortmund to win & BTTS gives a higher-risk, higher-reward option if you expect the hosts to edge a lively contest.

Handicap Options

For bettors seeking bigger prices, an Asian handicap such as Dortmund -0.75 or -1.0 offers a more aggressive stance on the home side’s superiority. On the other side, those who believe Stuttgart can extend their strong head-to-head run may consider Stuttgart +0.5, which pays out if the visitors avoid defeat.

Remember that betting always carries risk. Use a sensible staking plan, compare odds across multiple bookmakers and never bet more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Prediction

Correct Score Prediction: Borussia Dortmund 2–1 VfB Stuttgart

Balancing Dortmund’s strong home record and higher win probability against Stuttgart’s recent dominance in the head-to-head and their attacking quality, a narrow 2–1 win for Borussia Dortmund emerges as a realistic scoreline. The hosts are expected to create enough clear chances to take the points, but Stuttgart’s sharp counter- attacks and set-piece threat should keep them in the game throughout.

Best basic angle: Borussia Dortmund to win (1), or Dortmund Draw No Bet for added safety.
Goals angle: Over 2.5 total goals, with a strong case for BTTS – Yes.
Long-shot angle: Correct score 2–1 to Borussia Dortmund.

Always re-check team news, suspensions and late injury updates before placing any bets, as missing key defenders or forwards can significantly alter both the tactical outlook and the value of specific markets.