The two consecutive defeats against Augsburg and Leipzig have made Borussia Dortmund’s position in the league table even more precarious, with the team even slipping down to eleventh place. Things are looking bad for the black and yellows now, who are now 10 points from the Champions League zone with eight match days left in the championship. The change on the bench – Niko Kovac took the place of Nuri Sahin – doesn’t seem to have solved the problem of inconsistent performance and results, with Emre Can and his teammates now running the serious risk of missing out on everything.
At home, the Champions League Borussia Dortmund is not even a distant relative: while Kovac’s men made it to the quarterfinals in the most important continental competition, treating themselves to a fascinating two-legged tie with Barcelona, they are struggling in the Bundesliga. Suffice it to say that in 2025 they have collected only 10 points, half of those won by their next opponent, Mainz. Unlike Borussia, the Nullfunfer are having a great season, as demonstrated by the fact that after 26 match days they are third in the standings on equal points with Eintracht Frankfurt, with a margin of three points over Leipzig. The European dream is more alive than ever for Bo Henriksen’s team, led by the Burkardt-Amiri duo, and it’s no coincidence that both were called up by the German national team for their last matches. Mainz’s strength, however, is mainly in their defense, which is the least beaten in the tournament (28 goals conceded), after Bayern Munich, who are at the top of the table. The red and whites haven’t lost since February: since then they have four wins and two draws.
Odds comparison
The “Goal” sign is quoted at 1.63 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and at 1.60 on Snai. The “X2” sign is quoted at 2.20 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and at 2.15 on Snai.
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The prediction
Borussia Dortmund have never beaten Mainz in their last four matches: the last time the yellow and black team won was two years ago. The feeling is that Henriksen’s men, despite the absence of Kohr and Mwene through suspension, can also do well at Signal Iduna Park, a stadium they haven’t won at since 2020, against a Borussia Dortmund team that is far from recovered. Both teams are likely to find the way to score.
The probable line-ups for Borussia Dortmund-Mainz
BORUSSIA DORTMUND (4-2-3-1): Kobel; Ryerson, Emre Can, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini; Anton, Groß; Adeyemi, Brandt, Beier; Guirassy.
MAINZ (3-4-2-1): Zentner; Da Costa, Jenz, Hanche-Olsen; Widmer, Sano, Amiri, Caci; Nebel, Lee; Burkardt.
POSSIBLE RESULT: 2-2