After reaching the semi-finals of the Copa America last summer, Uruguay seems to have gone through a sort of involution. From September onwards, in the qualifiers for the next World Cup, the Celeste have won only one game out of seven: On Friday they were also defeated in the heartfelt Clasico del Rio de la Plata against Argentina, who despite Messi’s absence got the better of them thanks to a goal by Thiago Almada, who was able to break the deadlock in the second half of a match that had been very even up to that point (0-1).
A defeat that has distanced Marcelo Bielsa’s team even further from the top of the group and allowed Brazil and Ecuador to overtake them. However, Uruguay are not in danger of being left out of the North American World Cup: in the elimination round only the last three teams will be left at home. And the 7-point advantage over the seventh – who will have the chance to qualify through the inter-zone play-off – means that “Loco” and his men can sleep soundly. The demanding Argentine coach, however, can’t be satisfied with their recent performances. His Uruguay team is disappointing, especially in attack, having scored barely 4 goals in seven games (3 of these goals were scored in the match against Colombia last November).
In any case, it will be difficult to turn the page in the away game against Bolivia, which is always very tricky due to the fact that the game will be played at an altitude of over 4,000 meters. La Verde have won most of their points at home, thanks to this unique strategy. Direct qualification has become a pipe dream after the defeat last Thursday in Peru (3-1): on the contrary, Bolivia had better watch its back, considering that Venezuela has only one point less and that Peru and Chile are not out of the running either.
Odds comparison
The “1X” team is quoted at 1.35 on Goldbet, Lottomatica and Snai. The “Gol” team is quoted at 1.85 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and at 1.80 on Snai.
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The prediction
The altitude issue is likely to cause problems for Uruguay too, who last played in these parts (2021) and suffered a resounding defeat (3-0). However, La Celeste should be able to break through against a Bolivia side that has conceded a whopping 15 goals in their last 4 outings.
The probable line-ups for Bolivia-Uruguay
BOLIVIA (4-3-3): Viscarra; Medina, Haquín, Morales, Sagredo; Villamil, Cuellar, Vaca; Miguelito, Roberto Fernández, Algaranaz.
URUGUAY (4-2-3-1): Rochet; Nández, R. Araujo, Giménez, Olivera; Valverde, Bentancur; De Arrascaeta, Pellistri, M. Araujo; Darwin Núñez.
POSSIBLE RESULT: 1-1