Match Preview

The clash between Azerbaijan and Iceland in the FIFA World Cup Qualification 2026 – UEFA Group D takes place on 13 November 2025 at the Neftçi Arena (Bakcell Arena) in Baku. Both nations approach this contest seeking to finish their qualifying campaign on a high, though with contrasting recent form and ambitions. Iceland have quietly gathered momentum, while Azerbaijan are eager to impress in front of home supporters after a challenging run.

Iceland travel with confidence, thanks to a well-organized system built on defensive balance and quick flank play. Their tactical framework prioritizes compact spacing and physical duels in midfield, using experienced players like Aron Gunnarsson and Gylfi Sigurðsson to dictate tempo and spread play to the wings. The Nordic side are efficient from set pieces and comfortable playing without the ball — a strength that often frustrates more technical opponents.

Azerbaijan, under their current management, emphasize structured defending and opportunistic counterattacks. Their approach relies on discipline in deeper zones, waiting for moments to break forward through wingers and overlapping full-backs. However, lack of consistency in front of goal has limited their results. The home atmosphere in Baku could be decisive, as the crowd’s energy often lifts the team’s intensity, especially during early stages.

This fixture is likely to feature long spells of Icelandic possession, with Azerbaijan focusing on compact lines and transition moments. The key tactical battle will be in midfield, where Iceland’s passing triangles must overcome Azerbaijan’s low block. If the hosts manage to stay organized and force turnovers in good areas, Iceland’s full-backs could be exposed to counters.

Fine margins will determine the outcome. Iceland’s superior organization, physical advantage and set-piece quality give them an edge, while Azerbaijan’s best chance lies in defensive resilience and exploiting brief lapses in Iceland’s shape. Expect a cautious, low-scoring affair where discipline and patience outweigh open attacking play.

TV Broadcast and Livestreams

The Azerbaijan vs Iceland match will be broadcast globally through UEFA-affiliated networks. In Azerbaijan, fans can watch live on CBC Sport. In Iceland, national broadcaster RÚV will provide full coverage. International viewers can stream via DAZN and UEFA.tv. The official kick-off time is 17:00 UTC (21:00 local time in Baku, AZT).

Match Information

Odds (1X2)

Odds suggest Iceland are the favorites due to their stronger form and tactical cohesion. Azerbaijan’s home-ground factor narrows the margin slightly, but bookmakers expect the visitors to secure three points. The most reasonable betting pick is Iceland to win, possibly with Under 3.5 total goals.

Form and Head-to-Head

Head-to-Head: Iceland have dominated this matchup historically, winning most of their recent encounters. Azerbaijan have rarely managed to take points against the Nordic side, though they tend to perform more competitively at home. In their previous meeting during this qualification campaign, Iceland secured a convincing win with solid defense and efficiency in attack.

Standings (UEFA Group D)

Prediction

Final Score Prediction: Azerbaijan 0-2 Iceland

Prediction: Iceland’s structure and physical presence should secure them another crucial victory. Azerbaijan will likely sit deep and look for counter chances, but Iceland’s composure in possession and threat from set pieces could prove decisive. Expect a controlled display from the visitors. Predicted result: Azerbaijan 0-2 Iceland. Best bet: Iceland to win & Under 3.5 goals.