Sport Recife is hopelessly last in the standings: with no chance—after thirteen games played—of getting back into the race for survival. You might say: isn’t it too early? Perhaps it is, in general, but not in this case.
Three points earned so far, only five goals scored and 21 conceded. By far the worst attack, but not the worst defense. However, it makes little difference since the games are lost anyway. And the opportunity for Vitoria is obviously very important: the home team could overtake several teams ahead of them in one fell swoop. The three points—with very high odds given the value of the two teams taking the field—are well within reach for a club that is also coming off a victory against Bragantino (third in the standings), which has given them a lot of confidence in their abilities.
In short, it looks like a very one-sided match with no chance of anything other than a home win. Vitoria can smell the three points, while Sport Recife is close to relegation, even if there is still a long way to go. But when you start so badly, it is difficult, if not impossible, to think about survival.
Odds comparison
A Vitoria win is priced at 2.20 on Goldbet and Lottomatica. NO GOAL is priced at 1.62 on Goldbet and Lottomatica.
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The prediction
With five goals scored in 13 games, it is difficult for Sport Recife to win a match. In fact, it is truly impossible. And Vitoria’s odds, coming off a win against Bragantino and having earned almost all of their points at home so far, are too good to pass up.
Probable lineups for Vitoria-Sport Recife
VITORIA (4-5-1): Arcanjo; Caceres, Halter, Ze Marcos, Jesus; Bralhas, Lopes, Braga, Matheuzinho, Erick; Kayzer. SPORT RECIFE (4-3-3): Gabriel; Matheus, Rafael, Chico, Igor Carius; Ze Lucas, Rivera, Lucas Lima; Lacerda, Ramirez, Barletta. POSSIBLE RESULT: 2-0