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Conference League predictions for July 23: three winners and two games with over goals

by Mark

Starting with the second qualifying round, the Conference League will also be divided into two paths: the Champions Path and the Placed Path. Fluminense vs. Palmeiras prediction: complete turnaround
Fluminense has not yet recovered mentally after its defeat in the Club World Cup semifinal against Chelsea. Two league games, two defeats, without even managing to score a goal. A sign that the fatigue, especially mental, is taking its toll, and quite heavily.

Chelsea was also the team that eliminated Palmeiras during the World Cup. But the green-and-whites, who lost Rios, seem to have already shaken off the rust. Upon returning to league play, they drew against Mirassol, then defeated Atlético Mineiro. In short, this team is back to thinking about what it needs to do at home.

But why the change in the headline? We’ll explain right away. There is a good chance that Palmeiras could get revenge for their last clash with Fluminense (a 1-0 defeat) and, unlike in recent encounters, this match could also see at least one goal per team. And that is the most important point in our opinion. We are convinced, in fact, that there will be goals. And the odds are tempting too.

Odds comparison

A Palmeiras win is priced at 2.60 on Goldbet and Lottomatica. A goal is priced at 2.20 on Goldbet and Lottomatica.

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The prediction

Both teams scoring is worth more than double the stake. We are confident in this prediction because it has happened too many times in recent encounters. In short, it will be a match with goals and a possible victory for Palmeiras (although it remains complicated), who could take advantage of Fluminense’s poor form, with their heads and legs still in the United States.

Probable line-ups for Fluminense-Palmeiras

FLUMINENSE (3-4-2-1): Fabio; Ignaci, Thiago Silva, Freytes; Guga, Bernal, Martinelli, Rene; Lima, Canobbio; Everaldo.
PALMEIRAS (4-2-3-1): Weverton; Giay, Gomez, Micael, Piquerez; Moreno, Evangelista; Felipe Anderson, Torres, Mauricio; Vitor Roque. POSSIBLE RESULT: 1-2 Slovenian side Olimpija Ljubljana, who were surprisingly sent home by Kazakh side Kairat Almaty, and Andorran side Inter d’Escaldes, who went out with their heads held high against FCSB, the ‘heirs’ to the old Steaua Bucharest.

It was inevitably a huge disappointment for Olimpia Ljubljana: after reaching the play-offs for the last 16 in last season’s Conference League, more was expected, but Jorge Simao’s men not only failed to win in Kazakhstan, they were completely overwhelmed by their opponents (2-0, after a 1-1 draw in the first leg).

Inter d’Escaldes, on the other hand, had little hope against FCSB, but in the return leg they achieved a remarkable victory, beating the Romanians 2-1 and almost reopening the qualification race.

In our opinion, the Andorrans will also return empty-handed from Slovenia, but it would not be a surprise if they scored at least one goal in a match with a total of at least three goals. Also coming from the Champions League are the Welsh side TNS and the Luxembourg side Differdange: The New Saints came off worst after a hard-fought doubleheader against the North Macedonians of Shkendija, who won in extra time (0-0 and 2-1); Differdange had to surrender to the more determined Kosovars of Drita, who won both the first leg (1-0) and the second leg (2-3). The match could prove to be evenly balanced, although the Welsh remain superior in almost every respect and will try to seal qualification in front of their home crowd.

Predictions for the other matches

The Montenegrins of Buducnost are also looking for revenge. Their Champions League campaign came to an abrupt end with a narrow 1-0 defeat in the first leg in Armenia against Noah, and their comeback plans were thwarted in the second leg (2-2).
Things should be different in the first of two matches against Moldovan side Milsami, who lost out to Finnish side KuPS (1-0 and 0-0) in the Champions League: the home side are favorites in the match in Podgorica.
The Scandinavians, coming off a shock start at home (3-0 against Brondby), are likely to score a big win against the modest Icelandic side Akureyri, also making their debut in the competition. Finally, in Azerbaijan, Zira could manage to hold off the more highly rated Hajduk Split, coached by Gennaro Gattuso last season. The total number of goals is likely to be less than three.

Conference League: possible winners

Olimpija Ljubljana (in Olimpija Ljubljana-Inter Club d’Escaldes)
TNS (in TNS-Differdange)
Buducnost (in Buducnost-Milsami)

Matches with at least three goals in total

Silkeborg-Akureyri
Olimpija Ljubljana-Inter Club d’Escaldes

Conference League: the match with less than three goals in total

Zira-Hajduk Split

Odds comparison

TNS victory is priced at 1.77 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and 1.75 on Snai. The “Over 2.5” bet in Olimpia Lubiana-Inter d’Escaldes is priced at 1.50 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and 1.53 on Snai.

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