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Como-Genoa prediction: could it be a fourth in a row?

by Thorsten

Three consecutive wins against Monza, Torino, and Lecce mean that Cesc Fabregas’ Como can enjoy a completely stress-free end to the season. The Larians, who overwhelmed the Salentini 3-0 last Saturday, have climbed to twelfth place with 39 points. With five games to go, safety has essentially been achieved, and the club can start planning for next season with the aim of raising the bar even higher.

Despite some tribulations in the early months, the Catalan coach has achieved his goal: securing safety well in advance and, above all, doing so by playing proactive and ambitious football – as demonstrated by the 43 goals scored by his Como side (the best attack among the teams from tenth place down) – and promoting young players such as Nico Paz and Diao, the two brightest stars in this team.

While waiting to see how the interesting project of the wealthy Larian owners will continue – the directors have never hidden their ambition to reach Europe – Fabregas and his men do not seem to have any intention of “going on vacation” ahead of schedule. In this regard, the idea of finishing on the left side of the table is tempting, as tenth place is only four points away. Genoa, Como’s next opponent, could also still finish in the top 10, but unlike the Lombards, the Rossoblù seem to have eased off a little. In their last two games, they drew 0-0 with Verona and lost 2-0 at Marassi against Lazio (their first home defeat of 2025). In any case, the Grifone’s season remains positive, having made the right decision in the fall to entrust the bench to Patrick Vieira, the main architect of their survival.

Como-Genoa: the latest news on the lineups

Diao, the star of the last match against Lecce with a brace, has been injured. The 2005-born player will not return to the pitch before next season: Strefezza will replace him against Genoa, while Nico Paz, Ikoné, and Douvikas will continue in attack. Former Lyon player Caqueret will return to midfield in place of the suspended Perrone, while Moreno will look to get some playing time on the right side of defense.

On the other side, Vieira will field his Genoa side in a 4-3-3 formation: Pinamonti will be supported in attack by Messias and Vitinha, while in defense Norton-Cuffy will replace the suspended Otoa, who was sent off against Lazio. In midfield, Thorsby will replace the injured Miretti.

Odds comparison

A Como win is priced at 1.83 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and 1.80 on Snai. A “Goal” is priced at 2.00 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and 1.97 on Snai.

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The prediction

Diao’s absence is undoubtedly a heavy blow for Fabregas, but his Como side currently seem to have more motivation than Genoa, whose last away win dates back to last December. We slightly favor the Larians in a match between two teams that are now safe from relegation: goals should not be in short supply.

Probable line-ups for Como-Genoa

COMO (4-2-3-1): Butez; Vojvoda, Goldaniga, Kempf, Moreno; Caqueret, Da Cunha; Ikoné, Nico Paz, Strefezza; Douvikas.
GENOA (4-3-3): Leali; Norton-Cuffy, De Winter, Vasquez, Martin; Frendrup, Masini, Thorsby; Messias, Pinamonti, Vitinha.

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