Last Wednesday, in the Coppa Italia semi-final second leg, Milan confirmed that they have the same effect on Inter as kryptonite has on Superman, proving indigestible for the third time this season (between league and cup) as they thrashed the Nerazzurri 3-0. The Rossoneri have thus extended their unbeaten run in the derby – their fifth consecutive positive result, with Inter failing to get the better of their cousins this season – but above all, they have secured their place in the final at the Olimpico, scheduled for May 14 in Rome against Vincenzo Italiano’s Bologna.
It was a magical night for Sergio Conceiçao’s team, a breath of fresh air in a year that has been lacking in satisfaction, except for last January’s triumph in the Italian Super Cup (again, Inter were the victims of the Diavolo). The Portuguese coach got it right with Jovic – the Serbian, who was the star of the semi-final with two goals, is currently the striker in the best form – and took a lot of pressure off his shoulders. The Coppa Italia is now the primary objective for Milan, who, having slipped to sixth place after their defeat to Atalanta, can only qualify for Europe by winning the national cup. However, the resounding success in the derby inevitably provides a boost of enthusiasm. Whether this will be decisive in the upcoming matches against Venezia and Genoa remains to be seen. The Lagunari are back in the hunt for survival after two draws in direct clashes with Lecce and Empoli and a victory over bottom-of-the-table Monza: Eusebio Di Francesco’s men are now just one point behind the fourth-last team and will fight tooth and nail in Sunday’s lunchtime match, looking to take away at least a point.
Venezia-Milan: the latest news on the line-ups
Di Francesco will confirm the three-man defense, consisting of Idzes, Candé, and either Schingtienne or Marcandalli. There are doubts in attack and in midfield, where Oristanio, Yeboah, Fila, and Gytkjaer are vying for two spots. In the middle, Kike Perez and Busio will support Nicolussi Caviglia: the former Juventus player has now become irreplaceable.
The only player unavailable for Milan is Emerson Royal, but Conceiçao is likely to rest some players who played a lot in the derby. There is a high probability of seeing the 3-4-3 formation again, with the defensive trio of Tomori, Gabbia, and Pavlovic and Jimenez and Hernandez on the wings. It is unlikely that the Portuguese coach will leave out Leao, Pulisic, and Jovic: the hero of the derby remains in contention with Abraham.
Odds comparison
Milan’s victory is priced at 1.70 on Goldbet, Lottomatica, and Snai. The “Under 2.5” is priced at 2.05 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and at 2.00 on Snai.
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Prediction
Last weekend, Venezia scored more than two goals in the same game for the first time in almost three months. The Lagunari have gained great solidity in the second half of the season, but at the same time, their finishing has been a significant problem. At the Penzo, however, Di Francesco’s team has stopped teams such as Lazio, Atalanta, and Napoli, even preventing them from scoring (three clean sheets in their last four home games). The Arancioneroverde coach is likely to set up a similar game against Milan, who arrive in Venice in high spirits after their derby victory and Coppa Italia final qualification. Contrary to the bookmakers’ odds, we predict a game with less than three goals in total, with the Rossoneri favored to take all three points.
Probable line-ups for Venezia-Milan
VENEZIA (3-5-1-1): Radu; Schingtienne, Idzes, Candé; Zerbin, Kike Perez, Nicolussi Caviglia, Busio, Ellertsson; Yeboah; Fila.
MILAN (3-4-3): Maignan; Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic; Jimenez, Fofana, Reijnders, Hernandez; Pulisic, Jovic, Leao.