Points are starting to weigh like boulders in the relegation battles, like this very delicate Lecce-Venezia match. For the Venetians, second to last with 20 points, it is probably one of the last chances to get back in the running. The Salento team, on the other hand, would be safe today – they have 25 points and are fourth from bottom – but they have lost 5 matches in a row which, in addition to shaking Marco Giampaolo’s bench, have brought back pessimism and insecurities in a group that until a few months ago seemed to have everything it needed to aim for a safe salvation.
The causes of this crisis cannot be attributed solely to the calendar: yes, the Giallorossi have faced three teams fighting for Europe such as Fiorentina, Milan and Roma, but the three points have not come even against direct competitors such as Monza or Genoa. In 2025 Lecce only beat Empoli and Parma, both away from home: the “Via del Mare” factor has been practically non-existent for some time now, given that since October they have only beaten Monza in front of their own fans. Venice, on the other hand, hasn’t tasted the joy of victory since December 22nd: since then Eusebio Di Francesco’s men have had 7 draws and 6 defeats, barely managing to score a goal (a penalty) in the last seven league games. Yes, because while the defense has been able to keep teams like Lazio, Atalanta and Napoli at bay, the attack has basically stopped scoring. A problem that the former Roma coach will have to solve as soon as possible if he wants to avoid relegation.
Lecce-Venezia: the latest news on the lineups
The good news for Giampaolo is that he’ll have his entire squad available for the match against Venezia, with the exception of the long-term injured Marchwinski. The Giallorossi coach has doubts in midfield and in attack: Ramadani is in contention with Berisha, while Karlsson is challenging Tete Morente for a place in the attacking trident.
Di Francesco has recovered Sverko and Nicolussi Caviglia, but only the former Juventus player will start from the first minute: he will be entrusted with directing the game, surrounded by Kike Perez and Busio. Zerbin and Ellertsson will play on the wings, with the Fila-Oristanio tandem up front. Duncan’s presence is in serious doubt, as he is struggling with physical problems.
Odds comparison
The “1X” sign is quoted at 1.30 on Goldbet, Lottomatica and Snai. The “Under 2.5” sign is quoted at 1.60 on Goldbet, Lottomatica and Snai.
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The prediction
Lecce always win at the “Via del Mare” against Venezia in Serie A, but more generally the Salento team has never lost in the top division against the Arancioneroverdi. This trend could continue in a match that looks blocked for large stretches, since a possible defeat risks being a blow for both teams. The total number of goals is likely to be less than three.
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The probable Lecce-Venezia lineups
LECCE (4-3-3): Falcone; Guilbert, Baschirotto, Gaspar, Gallo; Coulibaly, Ramadani, Helgason; Pierotti, Krstovic, Karlsson.
VENEZIA (3-5-2): Radu; Schingtienne, Idzes, Candé; Zerbin, Kike Perez, Nicolussi Caviglia, Busio, Ellertsson; Oristanio, Fila.