No one in the major European leagues has won more points than Roma in 2025. An almost impressive number, considering the state in which Claudio Ranieri found the Giallorossi when he took over from Ivan Juric in November. Yet it only took the experienced coach a few months to put things right and get Roma back fighting for a place in Europe. In fact, after their sixth win in a row (1-0 against Cagliari two weeks ago), the Capitoline team are officially back in the running for the Champions League: Bologna in fourth place are only 4 points behind.
The schedule ahead of Pellegrini is not the easiest – there are several direct confrontations on the horizon – but this Roma team is completely different from the one last fall, which ended up flirting with the relegation zone. The painful elimination from the Europa League at the hands of Athletic Bilbao seems to have had no repercussions, even if the day after the match against Cagliari came the “blow” of Paulo Dybala’s injury, who had to undergo surgery and will be unable to return this season. Ranieri and his men want to show that they can do without their most talented player and will try to extend their winning streak against a Lecce side in crisis before two crucial matches against Juventus and Lazio. The Salento team has just lost four matches in a row – the last one at the Marassi stadium against Genoa – and has almost completely squandered the advantage they had gained over the third-last team. They are still 3 points ahead of Empoli, but if before the goal of staying up seemed within reach, now Marco Giampaolo’s team risks finding themselves in trouble again.
Lecce-Roma: the latest news on the lineups
All available for Giampaolo, with the exception of the long-term injured Marchwinski. The Salento-based coach has doubts about the defense, where Jean and Gaspar will be vying for a place, and the midfield: Berisha is favored over Pierret. Up front the now well-established trident formed by Tete Morente, Krstovic and Pierotti.
Ranieri hopes to recover Celik, but in addition to Dybala, the other injured players Rensch, Salah-Eddine and Abdulhamid will be absent in Lecce. The coach is counting on Soulé, who has been among the best in recent matches, to flank Pellegrini in the attacking midfield. Ballots in defense (Hummels-Nelsson) and in attack, with Shomurodov challenging Dovbyk.
Odds comparison
The “Under 2.5” odds are 1.68 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and 1.70 on Snai. Roma’s win odds are 1.85 on Goldbet, Lottomatica and Snai.
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The prediction
Even the precedents suggest we should back the Capitoline Giallorossi: Lecce haven’t beaten Roma since 2012. Giampaolo’s men have woken up in terms of offense in the last two games after going scoreless for four games in a row, but it won’t be easy to score against a defense like Ranieri’s, who has only conceded one goal in the last six games. The Under 2.5 is tempting.
The probable lineups for Lecce-Roma
LECCE (4-3-3): Falcone; Guilbert, Baschirotto, Jean, Gallo; Coulibaly, Berisha, Helgason; Pierotti, Krstovic, Tete Morente.
ROMA (3-4-2-1): Svilar; Mancini, Hummels, N’Dicka; Saelemaekers, Koné, Paredes, Angelino; Soulé, Pellegrini; Dovbyk.