Poland has been drawn in Group G, together with Finland, Lithuania and Malta. However, the name of the fifth team that will complete this group is not yet known: it will be one of either the current European champions Spain or the Netherlands, but we will only know for sure after the outcome of the Nations League quarter-final between La Roja and the Oranje. In theory, the Poles should therefore battle it out for second place, the one that earns them a place in the playoffs, with the Finns.
In any case, Michal Probierz’s team can’t afford to underestimate any opponent after last fall’s disastrous Nations League. In the League A group, Lewandowski and his teammates only scored 4 points, finishing last and bitterly relegating to League B.
The only joy of that campaign was the 3-2 victory in the opening match against Scotland. Then, almost exclusively bitterness, with the exception of the daring home draw with Croatia. The number of goals conceded by the Scots was particularly impressive: 16 in just six matches. The coach will therefore have to pay more attention to the defensive phase if he wants to avoid nasty surprises in the North American World Cup qualifiers. The first match against the not-so-irresistible Lithuania should also be a sure thing. The Baltic team has just come off 6 consecutive defeats, which have prevented them from collecting even a single point in group 2 of League C, which also includes Romania, Kosovo and Cyprus: relegation to League D is inevitable for a team that, even in this context, will have to do everything possible to avoid finishing in last place (it will be a battle with the Cypriots). Among the Poland squad, Inter midfielder Zielinski is absent due to injury. The ever-present Lewandowski, on the other hand, is there. In Lithuania, keep an eye on striker Kucys, who has been on fire in the last three games with Slovenian side Celje, Fiorentina’s next opponents in the Conference League.
Odds comparison
The “Over 2.5” sign is quoted at 1.52 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and at 1.53 on Snai. The “No Goal” sign is quoted at 1.40 on Goldbet and Lottomatica and at 1.38 on Snai.
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The prediction
In the last 5 previous matches – only friendlies – Lithuania have only managed to beat Poland once, but that was in 2011. Although the Poles have not shone in their last few outings, they shouldn’t make mistakes against a team within their reach like the Lithuanians: given the high scores recorded in the Nations League, we can expect a match with at least three goals overall. Lewandowski, one of the three most prolific players in UEFA qualifiers (World Cup and European Championship) from 2016 to the present, can make his mark.
The probable line-ups for Poland-Lithuania
POLAND (3-5-2): Bulka; Cash, Bednarek, Kiwior; Kaminski, Szymanski, Moder, Slisz, Zalewski; Lewandowski, Urbanski.
LITHUANIA (3-5-2): Gertmonas; Utkus, Girdvainis, Milasius; Sirvys, Cernych, Gineitis, Remeikis, Lasickas; Kalinauskas, Kucys.
POSSIBLE RESULT: 3-0